Ethereum (ETH -3.67%) could also be down 69% for the 12 months, however its rivals are getting crushed even tougher. Layer 1 blockchain networks corresponding to Avalanche, Fantom, and Solana (SOL -9.46%) are all down 90% or extra 12 months so far. The truth is, they’re among the many worst-performing cryptos in your complete market.
This dramatic fall has been eye-opening. Over the past crypto bull market rally, every of those cryptos was heralded as a possible “Ethereum killer.” However that was earlier than The Merge, and the market appears to be making a powerful level: No person wants “one other Ethereum” nowadays. So are any of those Ethereum rivals nonetheless price shopping for?
The large image right here is that there’ll probably be great market consolidation within the aftermath of The Merge. Earlier than The Merge, there was a necessity for sooner, cheaper blockchain networks that would do every thing Ethereum may do. After The Merge, there isn’t any longer this want. It is nearly inconceivable to out-Ethereum Ethereum nowadays, particularly with the recognition of Layer 2 scaling options that assist deal with any remaining weaknesses. The top outcome? The market will probably have exceedingly excessive expectations for any Layer 1 blockchain community that claims it may well develop into “the following Ethereum.”
This isn’t to say that the Layer 1 blockchain area is winner-take-all. The large query is what the market construction of the Layer 1 blockchain area goes to appear like after the crypto winter is over. If you concentrate on blockchain networks like cell phone networks, then there could possibly be a state of affairs the place a number of huge gamers predominate. Simply as most individuals use certainly one of a handful of nationwide cell community suppliers, and no supplier has an actual monopoly in the marketplace, the identical could possibly be the state of affairs within the Layer 1 blockchain area.
That sort of market construction may create a gap for Avalanche, Fantom, Solana, or every other Layer 1. They simply have to do one thing totally different than Ethereum, which already presents good contracts, decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and blockchain gaming. Being sooner or cheaper is now not sufficient. So what can they try this Ethereum cannot?
Can Solana actually problem Ethereum?
From this attitude, I feel Solana is the one certainly one of these Ethereum challengers that’s price investing in now. For instance, Solana is the only Layer 1 with a mobile crypto strategy. In early 2023, Solana plans to launch a “crypto cellphone” that may make it a lot simpler to work together with crypto by way of cell. This might fully change the best way folks take into consideration cell apps, crypto wallets, and Web3.
Secondly, Solana is arguably the one one of many main Layer 1 blockchain networks that has invested in a consumer-facing model. In late summer season, Solana opened the first ever crypto retail store in Manhattan. It adopted this up with one other crypto retail retailer in Miami in October. Solana does not refer to those as retail shops, nevertheless. As an alternative, it likes to confer with them as “embassies,” since they’re locations for regular, on a regular basis crypto lovers to hang around for hours on finish.
That isn’t to say that investing in Solana doesn’t include lots of danger and volatility. Due to its now broadly publicized relationship with Sam Bankman-Fried, FTX, and Alameda Analysis, Solana is coming underneath the microscope. In hindsight, it is now simple to see why Solana has been capable of increase so aggressively. That being mentioned, Solana factors out that it nonetheless has 30 months of runway till all the cash runs out, so there is no have to panic simply but.
Time to purchase Ethereum
Proper now, if you’re fascinated by investing within the Layer 1 blockchain area, the most secure possibility is simply to put money into Ethereum. With Ethereum, you might be investing within the acknowledged market chief. Ethereum has the most important group of blockchain builders on the earth, and it nonetheless boasts a higher than 50% market share of all blockchain exercise going down nowadays. In distinction, rivals corresponding to Avalanche and Fantom management only a very tiny slice.
At one time, there was great market demand for “Ethereum-killers,” nevertheless it now appears like Ethereum gained. At a time of most market uncertainty and danger, it is time to put money into winners, not losers.