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Natural gas price increases: The ripple effect – Economy – Al-Ahram Weekly

by Crypto News
November 4, 2021
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Natural gas price increases: The ripple effect – Economy – Al-Ahram Weekly
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The federal government has raised the value of pure fuel for the commercial sector by 28 per cent efficient 1 November, placing producers earlier than yet one more problem to their companies.

The choice will end in a rise within the ultimate price of merchandise through which pure fuel is used.

The value of pure fuel now stands at $5.75 per million British thermal models (MMBtu) for the industries that closely eat fuel like metal, petrochemicals and fertilisers, and $4.75 per MMBtu for different sectors.  

The federal government’s resolution brings to an finish the assist it supplied to the commercial sector with the unfold of the coronavirus pandemic when it had set the value of pure fuel at $4.5 per MMBtu in an try to extend exports.

World fuel costs have been rising this yr amid the rising demand and a scarcity in provide. Gasoline costs in Europe, together with within the UK, reached file highs prior to now months, whereas the New York Mercantile Alternate (Nymex) future contracts have doubled, reaching their highest ranges since late 2008.

Ahmed Khalifa, deputy chairman of Evergrow, a number one firm within the manufacturing of potassium fertilisers within the Center East, stated that almost all of the corporate’s manufacturing will see worth will increase starting from $6 to $10 as a result of resolution.

Gasoline worth hikes will even add extra chips on the shoulders of corporations that need to enterprise into new international markets, Khalifa stated, explaining that freight prices have additionally doubled. This may instantly end in a drastic drop within the income of exporters who had signed contracts with the importing events earlier than the rise in delivery and fuel prices.

Khalifa famous that electrical energy costs might also improve, which implies that manufacturing price will hike additional.

Khaled Abul-Makarem, chairman of the Chemical Industries Export Council, stated that petrochemicals and fertilisers are among the many most affected sectors by pure fuel worth rises. Gasoline is a fundamental element in some fertilisers, basically making as much as 80 per cent of the product. The shortage of pure fuel globally will improve demand on Egyptian merchandise, however since exporters had already signed contracts based mostly on cheaper costs, they may both must cancel the previous contracts, and therefore lose their prospects, or export their merchandise and shoulder the losses, he added.

The margin of losses will depend on how a lot fuel is used within the manufacturing of the product, Abul-Makarem stated, stating that it’s a proper resolution on the fallacious time. The rise within the worth of pure fuel ought to have occurred later to issue it within the exporters’ contracts.

Some nations have the leverage to compete towards Egyptian merchandise, he said. Petroleum-producing Arab nations can present pure fuel at cheaper costs, subsequently their merchandise will price lower than Egyptians’, particularly within the petrochemicals area. Moroccan fertilisers may also compete with Egypt’s, he added.

Numerous corporations within the constructing supplies sector which can be listed on the Egyptian Inventory Alternate reported the impact of pure fuel worth rise on a number of industries.  

Alexandria’s Ezz Dekheila Metal stated that pure fuel is likely one of the fundamental parts within the manufacturing of iron as a uncooked materials. Its worth improve will certainly have an effect on the price of manufacturing, the corporate stated, including that it’s versatile sufficient to alter the quantity of uncooked supplies used within the manufacturing course of.

The South Valley Cement Firm expects the price of manufacturing to rise from between 30 per cent to 50 per cent on account of the latest improve in fuel costs, whereas Qena’s Misr Cement Firm stated it depends on coal as the principle supply of vitality.

Mohamed Hanafi, head of the Steel Industries Chamber on the Federation of Egyptian Industries, anticipates the heaviest toll will fall on glass, fertilisers, and petrochemicals.  

Hanafi burdened that the impact of the rise within the worth of pure fuel on metallic industries can be restricted and that manufacturing unit homeowners can deal with the rise with out elevating the value of the ultimate product.

The larger drawback, nonetheless, would be the impact of the rising worth of pure fuel on energy stations.

Tamer Abu Bakr, head of the Vitality Committee on the federation, stated that the industries that closely use pure fuel will elevate their costs, however their merchandise will stay cheaper than these imported as a result of fuel costs elevated overseas at increased charges than in Egypt.

Industries with heavy fuel consumption will elevate the value of the ultimate product by between 15 per cent and 20 per cent, whereas the sectors that use pure fuel solely as a supply of vitality will improve their costs by 5 per cent or 10 per cent, Abu Bakr famous.

*A model of this text seems in print within the 4 November, 2021 version of Al-Ahram Weekly

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