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One of the vital frequent patterns in bitcoin’s on-chain historical past is that of the long-term holders stacking sats throughout bear markets after which promoting a few of their positions for profit-taking close to the tops of bull markets. Proper now, long-term holder provide is hitting new all-time highs as we brace for bitcoin’s subsequent bull transfer up.
We final coated long-term holder provide revenue dynamics in The Daily Dive #078. The definitions of Glassnode’s long-term holders and short-term holders might be discovered here.
As new demand enters the market within the later stage of the bull cycle, long-term holders promote bitcoin to new market entrants, i.e., short-term holders, till the market promoting and shopping for is exhausted. This sometimes alerts the native market value high as new demand is raring to purchase at any value. Value then cools off and long-term holders begin accumulating once more.
Supply: Glassnode
Over the summer season, because the bitcoin value fell over 50%, bitcoin entered a mini-bear-market-type atmosphere the place long-term holders took the chance to stack provide at a charge that we haven’t seen occur earlier than throughout a bull cycle.
This conduct propelled the long-term holder provide to new all-time highs as long-term holders now anticipate greater costs anticipating new retail, establishment and futures ETF demand to return into the market. Now, we’re nonetheless seeing long-term holders add to their holdings, however at a barely decelerating charge in comparison with earlier in the summertime
Supply: Glassnode
